It goes without saying one must have a thought out plan if they want to succeed in commodity trading. More so a proper mindset is an important ingredient in long term success in commodity trading. One cannot even think about successful commodity trading without first fully understanding probability and risk. In order to have the proper mindset and become a successful commodity trader, one must first learn to think in probabilities.
The simplest way to think in probabilities is to ask yourself a simple question.
“What was my profit over my last series of trades?”
Your series of trades are contingent on the way you trade and your time frame. For example, a short-term trader who uses very tight stop orders may use his last twenty trades. A long-term trader may use a shorter series of only five trades. This is a personal issue. Continue reading ‘Understanding Probability and Risk in Commodity Trading’ »